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(Monica Morgan / Getty Images; David Dee Delgado / Getty Images for The New York Times)

Patriot Brief

  • James Carville says Jasmine Crockett makes politics about herself, not Texas voters.

  • Democrats fear Crockett’s attention-seeking style hurts competitiveness statewide.

  • Carville again predicts Trump’s downfall despite repeated high-profile misfires.

James Carville accidentally told the truth — and then immediately reminded everyone why no one trusts his instincts anymore. His critique of Jasmine Crockett is devastating precisely because it’s accurate. Politics isn’t about viral clips, cable hits, or social media applause. It’s about persuading voters who don’t already agree with you. Crockett excels at attention; she struggles with persuasion.

Carville’s point that Crockett represents a safely blue district while doing little to help competitive races is exactly why her Senate run looks more like a vanity project than a strategy. Even fellow Democrats seem to know it, quietly hoping James Talarico carries the banner instead.

Then Carville torpedoes his own credibility by declaring Trump “done” — the same Trump he confidently predicted would lose in 2024. History hasn’t been kind to Carville’s gut feelings, and repeating them doesn’t make them wiser.

Crockett may indeed violate the first rule of politics. Carville violates the first rule of forecasting: learn from being wrong.

Liberal political commentator James Carville believes that Rep. Jasmine Crockett has at least one fatal flaw when it comes to running successfully to be the next senator of Texas.

Crockett announced Monday that she will seek the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate and then look to flip the seat currently held by GOP Sen. John Cornyn.

To succeed, she must first defeat Democratic rising star Texas state Rep. James Talarico.

An October University of Houston-Texas Southern University poll found Crockett ahead in the race of current and potential Democratic Senate candidates with 31 percent support, followed by state Rep. James Talarico and former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke each at 25 percent, while former Congressman Colin Allred garnered 13 percent backing.

Allred announced Monday that he is dropping out of the Senate race and will seek a House seat instead.

On the Republican side this time, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is slightly ahead in the race, with 34 percent, followed by Cornyn at 33 percent and Hunt at 22 percent, with 11 percent undecided, according to the University of Houston survey.

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